In September, the domestic viscose staple fiber ran in a weak position, and the price center continued to fall, down 1000 yuan/ton. It is hard to find a good situation on the demand side. The air atmosphere is thick on the site, and the turnover of human cotton yarn is difficult to improve. It is transmitted to the general enthusiasm for raw material procurement and the demand for replenishment. In the last ten days of this month, the price of dissolved pulp in the outer disk was lowered, and the support for the cost of viscose staple fiber was loosened, further promoting the price center of viscose staple fiber to a new level.
| EDTA |
In September, with the price adjustment of viscose staple fiber, the upstream raw material, declining, the trading of rayon yarn continued to be cold, and the price also showed a downward trend. Recently, the market still has the performance of selling goods at reduced prices. Under the condition of weak demand, it is difficult to stimulate the downstream to receive goods. The market trading atmosphere is light and difficult to change. Enterprises negotiate with each other to deliver goods. Most deals are based on rigid demand.
Price trend of viscose staple fiber
According to the price monitoring of the business community, the price of viscose staple fiber continued to fall in September. As of September 30, 2022, the ex factory quotation of 1.2D * 38mm viscose staple fiber in China was 13840 yuan/ton, 1020 yuan/ton lower than the price at the beginning of the month, with a monthly drop of 6.86%.
The price trend of rayon yarn
Renmian Yarn Price Trend Chart
The price of human cotton yarn followed the decline. As of September 30, 2022 (30S, ring spinning, first class), the average ex factory price was 18166 yuan/ton, showing a situation of price without market. Compared with the price at the beginning of the month, the price fell by nearly 500 yuan/ton, with a monthly drop of 2.50%.
Price rise and fall chart of viscose staple fiber/rayon yarn industry chain
Inventory and demand
| Melamine |
The start-up rate of viscose staple fiber industry remains low, and the overall load is about 55% at present. The overall low start-up may continue under the loss making operation of the manufacturer. In terms of demand, the start-up rate of downstream cotton yarn enterprises was basically stable. Renmian still sold goods in some areas, but the actual transaction situation has not improved. The downstream still maintains the level of just in demand procurement, and the inventory of finished products of Renmian yarn enterprises has risen by a narrow margin. The downstream orders of rayon yarn were not as expected, the terminal demand showed no signs of improvement, and the willingness to take delivery of goods was not high in the short term, and the demand side continued to operate weakly.
Future market forecast
Recently, the price of raw material dissolving pulp and chemical materials has declined, and the cost support of viscose staple fiber has loosened compared with the early stage. In terms of demand, the weak market situation is difficult to ease, and enterprise operations still focus on priority shipping; The downward transfer of viscose staple fiber and rayon yarn inventory was blocked, the market was pessimistic, and the possibility of downward adjustment remained after the festival. At present, the downstream expectation of “gold nine silver ten” is also relatively disappointed, and is pessimistic about the future market. The analysts of the business association predict that the viscose staple fiber and rayon yarn industry chain will continue to operate in a weak position, and the possibility of continued price decline still exists.
| http://www.lubonchem.com/ |