2016 natural rubber prices rose sharply at the beginning of the year, the price is 9760 yuan / ton, the price of 16380 yuan / ton, the annual increase of 67.83%.
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In 2016 the trend of rubber can be divided into 4 stages, the first stage is the 1-2 month low shock period, the second stage is the 3-4 month period rose slightly, the third stage is 5-9 month market consolidation period, the fourth stage is the 9-12 month period rose sharply.
1-2 month price in the low volatility period
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1-2 month hand although in domestic natural rubber stop cutting period, but the domestic stock at a high level, Qingdao bonded rubber stocks at a high level of 26-27 million tons, making adequate supply of domestic natural rubber prices in the spot, 000 yuan. In addition to the price of crude oil at a low level, lack of confidence of natural rubber futures market, domestic natural rubber stock turnover is poor, prices have been at a low level. On the other hand, rubber raw materials in major producing countries in Southeast Asia market is not good, Thailand and India and other countries the price of raw materials at a low level, even if the foreign government for rubber support policies, but not on the China rubber market to bring good, coupled with the raw materials of Thailand has been in a 40 baht / kg below the low level, the government of Thailand to ensure purchasing and storage of Thailand rubber price at home and abroad, the negative impact of natural rubber prices have been at a low level.
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It seems from the downstream tire rubber industry chain, 1-2 month domestic tire operating rate has been at a low level as the following 6, the operating rate of low demand for natural rubber, rubber goods market is poor, price slump. With the U.S. tire “double reverse”, the domestic tire exports is limited, exports fell sharply to 4, so that the tire industry is affected by the low price of natural rubber one disaster after another. 1-2 in the manufacturing industry market downturn, although under the positive stimulus of natural rubber RRR and foreign policy in the bank cut interest rates rebound hope, but 1-2 months Chinese in trade during the Spring Festival, come to an end, therefore, 1-2 in the market is still in the low volatility period of natural rubber.
In March natural rubber market ushered in a wave of rising trend
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